[A LESSON OF HISTORY]]

ESSAY

BY

OCTOBER 20,2019

After a thousand years of existence, Europe's oldest union was being wound up-courtesy of Napoleon. The crowd wept.

Might it happen again? History tells us that whenever Europe tries to act in unison, it screws up. The Holy Roman Emperor Charlemagne left an empire that collapsed in ruins. Ferdinand of Bohemia tried to create a single Roman Catholic empire, and unleashed the Thirty Years War in the 17th century. Napoleon brought most of Europe under his rod, an millions died until Wellington did for him at Waterloo.

 The Allies punished Germany after the First World War, and so brought Hitler to power. Today's European Union mishandled Russia after 1989 and paved  the way for the reign of Vladimir Putin.

 [GERMANY TODAY]

Today, Europe is wealthy, stable, mostly liberal and a magnet to the world's migrants, rich and poor alike. Whether this was  because of or in spite of a history of ceaseless conflict is an open question, But so, too, is whether half a century of stability can survive any new breakdown in unity.

WHEN I first studied Europe's history, I searched for themes that have glued together its various forces. First was the potency of ancient Mediterranean culture. Greece under Pericles was a kingdom of reason, fascinated by the human condition as expressed in art, literature and civic politics.

Rome was a sort of opposite, a realm of law and order, the wielding of power over the entire Mediterranean basin. 'These be your arts, O Rome, 'said Virgil, to impose the ways of peace,' The operative word was impose.

As Roman rule disintegrated, it mutated into that of the Christian Church.

Christianity was ostensibly a doctrine of universal love and peace, but it soon became a cauldron of rivalry and disunity. It split Rome from Constantinople, and proved so quarrelsome that a third of Christendom-in the Levant and Africa-became Muslim and has remained so ever since.

 In 1216, the bid of Pope Innocent III to declare himself sovereign lord of Europe bred endless conflict with the Holy Roman Empire, based in Germany. So we can conclude that as a glue of union, religion was a failure. By the 16th century the Reformation had split Innocent's Roman church in two, between Protestant north and Catholic south.

This in turn led to the Thirty Years War-the cruellest devastation of Europe before the 20th century. From the wreckage of that first great European War ever more potent nation states -notably France, Spain and Austria.

The new cause of disruption was not religion but dynasty. Louis XIV sought perpetual war with his neighbours. Russia flexed its territorial muscles. Frederick the Great of Prussia declared that 'national enlargement is a fundamental law of life'. To him, Europe was synonymous with struggle.

Nothing seemed able to bring peace to the continent: not the vitality of the Renaissance or wisdom of the Enlightenment, not great thinkers and writers like Petrarch, Shakespeare. Locke, Voltaire or Goethe.

Napoleon's attempt to unite Europe under French rule led to

5,000,000 DEATHS

Peace lasted for a century, while Europe plunged into a different form of aggrandisement-that of overseas imperialism

 By 1945, Europe was in self-inflicted ruins. Its peoples were starving, its cities destroyed and a centuries-old edifice of cultural achievement was crippled. Though Fascism had been defeated, the price was half a continent enslaved to Communism, and the other half dependent on American protection.

 A Common Market was formed in 1956 under the Treaty of Rome. This treaty grew and flourished, until a free trade area covered virtually all non-communist Europe. The continent seemed genuinely at peace, under the embrace of 'ever closer union'.

 But as this half of Europe prospered and cohered, it also slid into the morass of bureaucratic centralism. And here is where the lassons of history were ignored

The ambition of the Brussels  elite was curiously reminiscent of the medieval church. It became a quest for ever-tighter control of its adherents, and a disregard for the political mood of member states

The first moment of truth came with the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989. This ended the wartime division of Europe, to which the EU reacted like a conquering power. It enticed Russia's old Warsaw Pact allies into the EU and NATO, and left Moscow dangerously isolated.

When Boris Yeltsin warned that advancing NATO deep into Eastern  Europe meant 'the flames of war could break out again across Europe, the EU laughed.

The result was Vladimir Putin, vowing to 'make Russia great again' under  his kleptomaniac rule.  In the U.S., the balance of power between a central superstate and its various subordinate states was embedded in a constitution, written in blood. I Europe, that balance was left to evolve.

The EU ignored the risks it was running, not just in mishandling Russia, but in readily opening its borders to the immature democracies of Eastern Europe.

[And not forgetting the arrival in Germany of the once East German official Frau Merkel.]

After Maastricht in 1992, which effectively pledged the continent to become one giant federal entity, majority voting in the EU council eroded the authority of NATIONAL PARLIAMENTS.

Europe seemed the plaything of French bureaucrats and German bankers.

[HITLER WOULD BE PROUD]

Once more, the hard-learned lessons of the past were disregarded in the zealous pursuit of a new Nirvana. For example, the continent's longest confederation was the Holy Roman Empire. Voltaire may have called it not holy, nor Roman nor an empire-but its respect for the treasured autonomy of dozens of German princelings contrived to keep the German people's at peace with their neighbours for a millennium. Europe gained in the process, the wealth of the Rhine and the Baltic, the radicalism of Luther and the genius of Bach and Beethoven. That union collapsed only when Napoleon in France and then Bismarck in Germany could not tolerate what they saw as affront to their imperial ambitions.

The collapse of a united Europe did neither tyrant any good, but it did turn Germany from a peaceful confederacy - a kind of giant Switzerland - into a belligerent power under the supremacy of warlike Prussia.

AUTONOMY

of the continent's ancestral communities

You cannot ram union, let alone

GLOBALISATION

down people's throats. Diversity lies at the core of Europe's collective experience, but it is jealously guarded diversity.

Europe can never be subsumed under a single power structure. Union can only be a light-touch and consensual.

The EU's greatest mistake was to move beyond ever-closer trade to an ill-defined' ever closer union'. Above all, it lay in demanding that member states accept open borders.

Already by 2010, anti-European sentiment was growing and consent crumbling. Turnouts in EU elections plummeted from

60 % to 40 per cent.

Populist politicians-anti immigration and often anti EU-emerged in the UK. France, Italy, Germany and former communist states. The 2008 financial crisis saw the Eurozone's GERMAN MASTERS  inflict terrible damage on GREECE and SPAIN.

Then in 2016, the UK shattered the equilibrium. Its people voted -narrowly- to withdraw. Europe's union face d a fissure, and a deep one.

There was nothing new in Britain detaching itself from the rest of Europe. It had 'left' after the Hundred Years War that finally ended in the mid-15th century and after Henry V111's defection from Rome nearly a century later. It refused to join the Common Market in 1957, and only combined under NATO to benefit from America's nuclear shield.

Now, once again, Britain has said

ENOUGH IS ENOUGH

We should have no doubt of the reason. Political Europe has not found an answer to the question that defied all earlier attempts at union. How can this fragmentary continent be united without lurching either towards debilitating central authority or towards disintegration

Since the Lisbon Treaty of 2009, the EU has lurched towards the former. Now, with the rise of a reactionary populism, it is lurching towards the latter

There is hardly a member state that would dare imitate Britain and hold a Referendum on EU membership. But that is insufficient consent for union.

With or without Britain the EU must find a way of returning substantive sovereignty to its 

If it fails, Britain will not be the only defector. The EU will go the way of its many forerunners - to

DISINTEGRATION and DANGER.

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OCTOBER 20,2018

H.F.1733